Rising Cost of Carbon and How Irish Organisations Can Manage EU ETS Exposure
The European Union’s (EU) ambition to cut greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions is resolute in reducing them to at least 55% by 2030. An updated reduction target of 62% applies for sectors covered by the EU Emissions Trading System (EU ETS). The overarching goal is to achieve total neutrality by 2050. The “Fit for 55” package was first proposed in 2021 as part of the European Green Deal. As a result, free allowances provided under the European Union Emissions Trading Scheme (EU ETS) are dwindling significantly while carbon prices and volatility are surging. Previously a minor expense, carbon costs now warrant strategic consideration. The Carbon Credits & Emissions Trading solutions provided by Captured Carbon give industries the most credible access to voluntary and compliance markets. Corporations can still secure allowances under the EU Emissions Trading System (EU ETS) to fulfil compliance obligations. How Does the EU Emissions Trading System Work? The EU Emission Trading Scheme is a cap-and-trade system devised to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and drive down environmental pollution. It works by setting a cap on GHG emissions from major industries, like power, manufacturing, aviation, and shipping. Under the scheme, certain installations receive free allocations of EU Allowances (EUAs), while others must purchase allowances through auctions or the secondary market. The scope entered its 4th phase in 2021, with EUAs now mostly auctioned, already surpassing 57% of the total. Free allocations are still available, but they are dwindling. With the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) in place, the free allowances are likely to be phased out for CBAM-covered sectors by 2034. Corporations must monitor and declare their emissions annually. They must surrender enough allowances to fully account for their annual emissions. If these requirements are not met, heavy fines are imposed. Why EU ETS Exposure Is Now a Board-Level Risk The Emission Trading Scheme has evolved from a compliance mechanism into a market-driven process. The cap on free allowances means a wider compliance gap, compelling organisations to purchase allowances on the open market. The issue impacts capital planning, market competitiveness, operating costs, and EBITDA, thereby becoming a board-level risk. The realities of a tightening emissions trading system do not align with annual budgeting cycles that assume stable pricing or historical averages. Understanding the commercial realities of the EU ETS exposure starts with treating it as more than just a “financial risk” variable. Organisations must have a clear roadmap to address their future obligations for power trading, gas trading, and unlocking green energy opportunities. How Irish Organisations Can Still Secure Allowances Through Carbon Credits & Emissions Trading An established electricity trader, Captured Carbon, offers carbon credit and emissions trading solutions in Ireland to help corporations address EU ETS exposure with deep industrial expertise. We operate throughout the entire energy value chain, including trading, structuring, and managing environmental commodities. With greater clarity in the electricity and gas markets, corporations can set a more confident decarbonisation and sustainability goal for the long term. Carbon Credits & Emissions Trading: Covered entities can access voluntary and compliance markets for credible and cost-effective allowance strategies and market access, plus get support for EU ETS (Emissions Trading Scheme) obligations. Power Trading: We help asset developers across Ireland and Europe participate in the I-SEM and UK-markets with a worthwhile strategy and complete regulatory support to diversify revenue through biomethane and green gas certificates. Full-Service Administration: We support Irish industries in managing EU ETS participation by structuring and negotiating Corporate PPAs, Guarantees of Origin (GOs), green gas certification, and carbon & EU ETS compliance. Capacity Market Support: For energy users looking to participate in the Capacity Market, we help find the best ways to capture maximum value from a secure supply. Unlocking Green Opportunities Through Strategic Carbon Market Participation People often view carbon markets solely in terms of cost. In reality, they also present opportunities when approached strategically. At Captured Carbon, we work closely with each client. This service aims to assist corporate energy users in navigating the complexities of the energy market by providing essential advisory, auditing, certification, and support through REFIT, RESS, and other renewable schemes. Captured Carbon helps corporate energy users across Ireland and Europe with tailored green solutions. Stronger ESG performance and credible decarbonisation pathways can be supported by optimising the timing and structure of allowance purchases and reducing exposure to short-term price volatility. By using knowledge of regulations, understanding the market, and having access to reliable carbon tools, companies can go beyond just following the rules and make smart choices that help them stay strong in the long run Industry Q&A: Real Questions Businesses Are Asking About Carbon Costs and EU ETS Exposure 1. What are the key elements companies must manage under the EU ETS? The key elements we recommend include accurate emissions forecasting, allowance procurement strategy, a robust Monitoring, Reporting and Verification (MRV) framework, and alignment with Ireland’s 2030 and 2050 climate objectives. 2. What are the total greenhouse gas emissions included under the current EU ETS? From 2026 onwards, the EU ETS covers CO₂ from corporate energy users, nitrous oxide (N₂O) from chemical plants, and perfluorocarbons (PFCs) from aluminium producers. Methane (CH₄) must also be reported now, especially within the maritime sector. 3. What is the current European Union allowance for CO₂ emissions? As of 2026, the EUA is a tradable permit issued under the European Union’s Emissions Trading System (EU ETS), the world’s first and largest mandatory carbon market. Each EUA grants the holder the right to emit one tonne of CO₂. 4. What are the consequences of failing to surrender the EU ETS allowance? Corporate energy users that don’t surrender their EU ETS allowance will be fined €100 per excess tonne of CO₂. The penalty will increase annually in line with the European Index of Consumer Prices. The key elements we recommend include accurate emissions forecasting, allowance procurement strategy, a robust Monitoring, Reporting and Verification (MRV) framework, and alignment with Ireland’s 2030 and 2050 climate objectives. From 2026 onwards, the EU ETS covers CO₂ from corporate energy users,